Commanders vs Eagles Prediction: Odds, Expert Picks, QB Matchup, Injury News, Betting Trends and Stats
The Eagles and Commanders meet in DC with Washington hanging on by a thread for the postseason.
Washington is 9-5 this season and thriving behind rookie QB Jayden Daniels. The Commanders have won two straight after three consecutive losses. Washington sits in the 7th and final NFC playoff spot and has a Sunday Night Football primetime matchup versus Atlanta next week before wrapping up the season at Dallas in Week 18.
The Commanders currently have an 85% chance of making the playoffs and that dips to 78% if they lose a second time to the Eagles.
Philadelphia is 12-2 and in a three-team race with Minnesota and Detroit for the No. 1 seed in the NFC. The Eagles have won 10 straight games since the bye week and are 3-0 against the NFC East. Philly wraps up the season with the Cowboys and Giants at home after this trip to DC. The Eagles could finish with 13 straight wins and a perfect 6-0 record versus the division.
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Game Details and How to watch the Philadelphia Eagles vs. Washington Commanders on Sunday
· Date: Sunday, December 22, 2024
· Time: 1:00 PM EST
· Site: Lincoln Financial Field
· City: Philadelphia, PA
· TV/Streaming: FOX
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Game odds for Eagles vs. Commanders
The latest odds as of Saturday courtesy of DraftKings:
Moneyline: Philadelphia Eagles (-192), Washington Commanders (+160)
Spread: Eagles -3.5 (-115)
Total: 45.5
The opening spread has not budged an inch, but the total continued to trickle down from 48.5 on Dec. 10 to the 45.5 we see here almost two weeks later. The Eagles closed as -4.5 point favorites and a total of 49.5 in the previous meeting. Philadelphia covered and the Under hit (26-18).
NBC Sports Bet Best Bet
Vaughn Dalzell (@VmoneySports) likes the Eagles 1Q Team Total Under 5.5 at the Washington Commanders:
“This is a tricky game to bet as Philadelphia covered the first meeting at home as -4.5 point favorites (26-18) and are 3-0 against NFC East opponents this season.
I lean toward the Commanders’ +3.5 as the spread moved down since the last meeting, but I think the best bet is to fade the Eagles’ offense early.
Washington hasn’t allowed a first-quarter touchdown in four straight games and only one team (Pittsburgh) has scored in the first 15 minutes on Washington since Week 5, Philadelphia included (WSH led 1Q 7-0).
The Eagles scored 10 first-quarter points against the Steelers but that was the only time Philadelphia scored more than three points in the first quarter of the last five games. In fact, Philadelphia has 13 first-quarter points in the last five games and was shutout against Washington, Carolina, and Baltimore (3 at L.A. Rams).
I like the Eagles to go Under 5.5 first-quarter points in Washington.”
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Philadelphia Eagles vs. Washington Commanders team stats, betting trends
- Philadelphia is 9-5 ATS, ranking tied for 5th-best.
- Washington is 8-5-1 ATS, ranking 10th-best.
- The Commanders are 5-2 ATS at home, ranking 3rd-best but have yet to be a home underdog.
- The Eagles are 6-1 ATS on the road (2nd-best) and 3-1 ATS as a road favorite.
- Washington is 9-5 to the Over, which is tied for 4th-best.
- Philadelphia is 9-5 to the Under, which is tied for 2nd-best.
- Jalen Hurts totaled three touchdowns last week and has six passing touchdowns to zero interceptions over the last four games.
- Saquon Barkley had his second-lowest rushing performance of the season with 65 yards last week against Pittsburgh.
- AJ Brown had one of his best games of the season with eight receptions on 11 targets for 110 yards and a touchdown last week.
- DeVonta Smith recorded 11 receptions on 12 targets for 109 yards and one touchdown versus Pittsburgh.
- Jayden Daniels threw two touchdowns with no picks for 226 yards and added 66 rushing yards on 11 attempts versus New Orleans.
- Terry McLaurin caught two touchdowns last week for a second straight game and has five total touchdowns in the past three games.
- Brian Robinson Jr. has at least 63 rushing yards in five of the last six games.
Quarterback matchup for Washington vs. Philadelphia
Washington: Jayden Daniels – Daniels is all but a lock to win NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year with three games remaining. The former LSU QB has posted 3,045 passing yards, 17 touchdowns, and six interceptions to go with 656 rushing yards and six touchdowns. Daniels could finish the season with 4,500 total yards if he averages 266 yards per game in the last three.
Philadelphia: Jalen Hurts – In the last five games, Hurts has 10 total touchdowns with zero interceptions and rushed for a score in three straight during that span. Hurts has thrown touchdowns in back-to-back games for the second time all season but had zero touchdown passes against Washington in the first meeting.
Eagles and Commanders injury update
For Philly, TE Dallas Goedert (knee), DT Byron Young (hamstring), LB Ben VanSumeren (knee), and WR Britain Covey (neck) are out, while WR Johnny Wilson (illness) is questionable.
Washington’s RB Austin Ekeler (concussion), WR Noah Brown (knee), and kickers Greg Joseph (abdomen) and Austin Seibert (hip) are all out, while Kicker Zane Gonzalez (foot), WR Jamison Crowder (calf), and TE Zach Ertz (concussion) are questionable.
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